Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000635 0.000729 0.000828 0.000941 0.001065 0.001199 0.001351
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000488 0.000616 0.000762 0.000940 0.001149 0.001385 0.001670
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000417 0.000561 0.000733 0.000952 0.001218 0.001530 0.001919
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000345 0.000494 0.000680 0.000926 0.001236 0.001610 0.002090
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000288 0.000438 0.000632 0.000897 0.001243 0.001671 0.002234
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000252 0.000403 0.000608 0.000895 0.001279 0.001767 0.002419
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000223 0.000375 0.000587 0.000894 0.001315 0.001860 0.002603
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000195 0.000345 0.000561 0.000883 0.001336 0.001932 0.002759
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000169 0.000315 0.000533 0.000866 0.001345 0.001987 0.002893
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000157 0.000304 0.000531 0.000886 0.001405 0.002112 0.003121
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000145 0.000293 0.000527 0.000902 0.001459 0.002229 0.003340
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000127 0.000270 0.000504 0.000886 0.001467 0.002281 0.003473
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000110 0.000247 0.000477 0.000865 0.001465 0.002321 0.003590
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000234 0.000467 0.000868 0.001499 0.002413 0.003782
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000224 0.000462 0.000878 0.001544 0.002520 0.003997
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000204 0.000436 0.000854 0.001535 0.002547 0.004098
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000185 0.000411 0.000827 0.001520 0.002564 0.004184
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000175 0.000400 0.000825 0.001543 0.002638 0.004353
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000165 0.000391 0.000824 0.001568 0.002715 0.004529
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000154 0.000377 0.000814 0.001577 0.002768 0.004668
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000142 0.000360 0.000798 0.001574 0.002802 0.004781
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000140 0.000362 0.000817 0.001631 0.002930 0.005036
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000136 0.000362 0.000831 0.001681 0.003047 0.005278